The Outcome Of The Battle For Donbas — And The War Itself — Hinges On Whether Ukraine Can Hold Kramatorsk And Sloviansk. How Are Two Former Azov Commanders Leading The Defense?
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TL;DR

A Meduza report published Oct. 22 says Russian forces have cut the Dobropillia-Kramatorsk road and are advancing on several approaches to the Kramatorsk-Sloviansk area. Ukraine has assigned defenses around Sloviansk and Kramatorsk to separate operational groupings led by former Azov commanders Andriy Biletsky and Denys Prokopenko. Control of some settlements, including Zolotyi Kolodiaz, remains disputed, and the report says Russia’s broader plan is unclear.

Russian forces have cut the Dobropillia-Kramatorsk road and are advancing on several routes toward the Kramatorsk-Sloviansk urban area, according to a report published by Meduza on Oct. 22. Ukraine has organized defenses around the two cities into separate operational groupings led by former Azov commanders Denys Prokopenko and Andriy Biletsky, as the battle for the approaches intensifies.

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Meduza reports that Prokopenko’s Azov grouping is responsible for the approaches to Kramatorsk, while Biletsky commands the Center grouping tasked with holding Sloviansk. The report describes Prokopenko taking up his post amid a new Russian advance between Dobropillia and Kramatorsk. Russian troops have reached parts of Dobropillia and are pushing toward Kramatorsk from the southwest, east and southeast, according to the report.

Russia’s Defense Ministry said its forces had fully captured Dobropillia, and released videos it presented as evidence. Meduza says some footage shows signs of AI processing, while other clips appear genuine; Ukrainian forces have also published videos of strikes on Russian troops in the city. The report says Russian forces have reached the city center from the south and the northern outskirts from the east. It does not establish that Russia controls the whole city.

The report identifies a major threat east of Dobropillia, where Russian forces have reached the road to Kramatorsk and may be positioned to advance toward the city’s southwestern outskirts. Both sides have released footage claiming control of Zolotyi Kolodiaz, leaving the village’s status unresolved. Meduza also reports Russian advances near Novoandriivka, as well as renewed pressure southeast and northeast of Kramatorsk.

On the Sloviansk front, Meduza says Biletsky’s forces pushed Russia’s 20th Army back across the Siverskyi Donets north of the city. The Ukrainian grouping is now trying to repel forces advancing from the east and south. The report says Russia’s 20th Army has withdrawn from a large area west of the Chornyi Zherebets River and is organizing a defense farther back.

At a glance
reportWhen: Published Oct. 22, 2026; battlefield si…
The developmentMeduza reports that Russian advances toward Dobropillia and Kramatorsk are putting pressure on Ukraine’s defenses around the Kramatorsk-Sloviansk urban area.

Pressure on the Kramatorsk Front

Kramatorsk and Sloviansk anchor Ukraine’s defense in northern Donbas. If Russian troops can advance toward or into the cities, Ukraine could face prolonged urban fighting and greater pressure on supply routes and nearby defensive positions. Meduza frames control of the approaches as central to the battle for Donbas, but the front’s eventual outcome cannot be determined from the reported advances alone.

The reported threat comes from several directions, rather than a single push. That could complicate Ukrainian decisions about where to deploy troops and whether to defend the urban area directly or protect its routes and flanks. The military significance of the road’s reported loss depends on whether Russian forces can hold it and exploit the advance; the source does not provide enough information to establish that outcome.

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Two Cities, Two Command Groupings

The Ukrainian command’s reported arrangement assigns Sloviansk to Biletsky’s Center grouping and the approaches to Kramatorsk to Prokopenko’s Azov grouping. Both commanders are former Azov leaders. Prokopenko previously led the 12th National Guard Brigade, which was reconstituted after its forces were captured in Mariupol in 2022, according to Meduza. Biletsky is described as a former commander of the 3rd Army Corps.

Meduza says a Ukrainian operation called Vivaldi had reduced the threat of a Russian advance toward the Oskil and Siverskyi Donets rivers’ confluence near Izyum, and had countered Russian attempts to cross the Siverskyi Donets near Sviatohirsk. The report also compares the current pressure near Dobropillia with a Russian breakthrough in the same area 14 months earlier. Ukrainian forces halted that earlier advance in August 2025 after a counterattack, the report says.

“Its forces had fully captured Dobropillia.”

— Russia’s Defense Ministry, as reported by Meduza

Control and Russian Aims Remain Unclear

The report does not confirm that Russian forces fully control Dobropillia, despite the claim by Russia’s Defense Ministry. Control of Zolotyi Kolodiaz is also disputed, with both sides releasing footage. Video evidence can indicate activity in a location without establishing control of the entire settlement or the wider area.

It is also unclear whether Russia intends primarily to encircle the Kramatorsk-Sloviansk urban area from the west and east, as Ukrainian command had previously expected, or to approach Kramatorsk from multiple directions and attack the city itself. Meduza says Russian command may be pursuing more than one plan. The report provides no verified force totals, casualty figures or independent confirmation of every claimed advance, and conditions on the ground may change.

The Next Moves Around Donbas

The immediate developments to watch are whether Ukrainian forces can contain the Russian advance around Dobropillia, reopen or defend the road to Kramatorsk, and prevent further movement toward the city’s outskirts. For the Sloviansk grouping, the next test is whether it can hold positions against renewed pressure from the east and south after Russia’s reported withdrawal west of the Chornyi Zherebets River.

Further reporting and independently verifiable evidence will be needed to establish which side controls contested settlements and whether the road remains cut. The deployment and actions of the two Ukrainian groupings may show how command is responding, but the source does not provide a timetable for any planned operations or a confirmed forecast for the battle.

Key Questions

Why are Kramatorsk and Sloviansk important?

They form a major urban area in northern Donbas and are central to Ukraine’s defenses there. Meduza describes control of the approaches as a key part of the battle for the region.

Who is leading the Ukrainian defenses?

Meduza reports that Denys Prokopenko leads the Azov grouping guarding the approaches to Kramatorsk, while Andriy Biletsky commands the Center grouping tasked with holding Sloviansk.

Has Russia captured Dobropillia?

Russia’s Defense Ministry says it has fully captured the city. Meduza reports Russian forces in parts of Dobropillia, but the material provided does not independently confirm full Russian control.

Who controls Zolotyi Kolodiaz?

That remains disputed. Meduza says both Russian and Ukrainian forces published videos claiming control of the village.

Is Russia trying to encircle the two cities or attack them?

The aim is unclear. Meduza says Ukraine had expected a wide encirclement, but Russian forces may now also be trying to approach Kramatorsk from several directions and attack it directly.

Source: rss

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